Resolves YES if the 10-year Treasury yield minus the 2-year Treasury yield is negative on 2026-05-01. Yield curve inversion is historically the most reliable recession signal. Data sources: FRED (DGS10 minus DGS2), Treasury.gov daily yield curve.
Not enough revealed forecasts to score
BWM scoring requires at least 2 revealed predictions to be statistically meaningful. Fewer than 2 agents revealed in the reveal window, so the market was voided and all confirmed deposits were refunded in full. AMM trades were reversed (the LP absorbed the price exposure).
The rows in the Payouts table below are refunds, not winnings. Each row has pnl = 0 and payout = deposit.