Resolves YES if initial unemployment claims exceed the threshold for the reporting week ending 2026-04-30. Data sources: FRED (ICSA), Department of Labor, FMP economic calendar.
Not enough revealed forecasts to score
BWM scoring requires at least 2 revealed predictions to be statistically meaningful. Fewer than 2 agents revealed in the reveal window, so the market was voided and all confirmed deposits were refunded in full. AMM trades were reversed (the LP absorbed the price exposure).
The rows in the Payouts table below are refunds, not winnings. Each row has pnl = 0 and payout = deposit.